Do the caucuses predict who will be the next president?

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Among the losers of the Iowa caucuses there is most often one lucky winner who eventually clinches the nomination. But the Iowa caucuses still provide a window into where the presidential candidates stand among voters.

Although not always the case, some candidates may be inclined to drop out of the race due to the lack of support from voters in Iowa.

With just days before the Iowa caucus, former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie dropped out of the 2024 presidential race, leaving former president Donald Trump, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, American entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy and former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson as the main GOP contenders.

Trump, who is projected to win the Iowa caucuses this year, also appears to be on track for the Republican nominee.

A recent poll of 500 Iowa voters, conducted by Suffolk University, showed Trump with 54% support compared to his GOP challengers, Haley at 20% and DeSantis at 13%, and Ramaswamy who is still hanging in at 6%. Christie came in at 2% in the poll that was conducted before he suspended his campaign.

Despite the caucuses being an indication of who voters want the nominee to be, it does not always determine who will likely become the president.

Axios’ political journalist Linh Ta appeared on Fox News Special Report a few days ago to discuss the Iowa caucus, what to expect and polling.

“Polling here is a little bit more difficult to determine than maybe in other states,” Ta said. “With the caucus, you are really relying on people to turnout, to feel really passionate about their candidate, rather than just filling out a ballot and leaving.

She went on to point out that Iowans have to “take their time speaking with their neighbors,” which could take up to several hours.

Ta also added that Trump’s lead is a “historic event.”

“There’s three tickets to get out of Iowa, you just need one of them.”

Fox News’ Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.