Russian coup could have reached Moscow outskirts without deal, experts say: Updates
Relative normalcy returned to Moscow on Sunday as Russian troops deployed to protect the capital withdrew following the retreat of the rebellious mercenary forces.
The brief insurgency, however, revealed the Kremlin's inability to provide an effective rapid response to the Wagner Group's advances, highlighting internal Russian security weaknesses, the Washington-based Institute for the Study of War said in its latest assessment. The Kremlin's struggle was likely the result of surprise combined with the impact of heavy losses in Ukraine, the assessment said.
Wagner likely could have reached the outskirts of Moscow if Wagner leader Yevgheny Prigozhin had chosen to order them to do so, the assessment said. The march ended 300 miles from Moscow on Saturday with a deal between Prigozhin and President Vladimir Putin.
On Sunday, roadblocks and checkpoints around the city had been removed and crowds swarmed the downtown area on a warm, sunny day, packing street cafés with customers, the Associated Press reported.
Still, the Biden administration is monitoring fallout from the coup attempt that could provide profound consequences for Putin, Ukraine and Russia, Secretary of State Antony Blinken said Sunday.
"This is just the latest chapter in a book of failure that Putin has written for himself and for Russia," Blinken said on NBC News' "Meet the Press." "Economically, militarily, its standing in the world – all of those things have plummeted."
Will Vladimir Putin keep his grip on power? Coup attempt dials up pressure over Ukraine war
Developments:
∙ President Biden spoke Sunday with Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy about Ukraine’s ongoing counteroffensive. Biden reaffirmed unwavering U.S. support, including continued security, economic and humanitarian aid. The leaders "also discussed recent events in Russia," the White House said in a statement.
∙ GOP presidential hopeful Chris Christie dismissed a recent Pew Research survey indicating 44% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents say the U.S. is giving too much aid to Ukraine. "America has never been a great country and the leader of the world by filling in the moat and pulling up the drawbridge," said on ABC News' "This Week."
∙ Two more bodies were found under the rubble of a Kyiv apartment building a day after it was hit by missile debris during a Russian strike Saturday, Mayor Vitali Klitschko said Sunday. The discovery raises the death toll to five.
∙ Belarus President Alexander Lukashenko, apparently involved in negotiations that ended Prigozhin's march on Russia, could take part in negotiations to end the war, Ukraine Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council Alexei Danilov said on his Facebook page. "Lukashenko's participation in this process is not excluded," Danilov wrote.
∙ Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III and Ukrainian Minister of Defence Oleksii Reznikov spoke Sunday and discussed "regional security developments and dynamics on the ground in Ukraine," the Pentagon said in a statement.
What’s happening in Russia? Kremlin says Wagner chief to leave for Belarus after rebellion
Ukraine forces making 'gradual but steady' progress in war
Ukrainian forces have recently "re-set" and are pressing major offensive operations in southern and eastern Ukraine, the British Ministry of Defense says in it latest assessment of the war. Ukrainian forces are using the experiences from the first two weeks of the counteroffensive to refine tactics for assaulting the deep, well-prepared Russian defenses and are making "gradual but steady tactical progress in key areas."
"This is Russia’s internal affair," the Chinese statement read. "As Russia’s friendly neighbor and comprehensive strategic partner of coordination for the new era, China supports Russia in maintaining national stability and achieving development and prosperity."
Revolt leader 'probably has got other arrows in the quiver'
An attempted coup against Putin that was swiftly abandoned Saturday raised new questions about his grip on power and is expected to intensify pressure on him within Russia over the unpopular war in Ukraine. Putin had vowed a harsh penalty for Prigozhin, the head of the paramilitary force that has been fighting alongside Russia's regular army in Ukraine. But after Prigozhin abruptly ended the rebellion, the Kremlin said he would not be prosecuted and would instead leave for Belarus.
Although Putin's authority has not been challenged during his more than two decades as Russia's president, a shadowy group known as the siloviki – Russia’s version of the so-called Deep State security power brokers – wields substantial power behind the scenes in Russia, said Steven Hall, a former Moscow chief of station and head of Russia operations for the CIA. If Putin loses their support, he could be forced out almost immediately, he said.
"Putin and the Kremlin haven't played the last card yet," Hall said. "Neither have any of the other players here, including Prigozhin, who probably has got other arrows in the quiver."
− Josh Meyer
Wagner mercenaries begin retreat from Russian territory
Wagner militants were leaving the southern Russia region of Voronezh, a day after the group abandoned its armed march toward Moscow, local governor Alexander Gusev said Sunday. "The movement of Wagner units through Voronezh Oblast is ending," Gusev said in a Telegram post,adding that travel and social restrictions in the region will be lifted once "the situation is finally resolved."
Wagner militants had reportedly seized all of the regional capital Voronezh's military facilities after Prigozhin launched his rebellion "to restore justice" after alleging that a Russian missile strike on his mercenary forces' camps in Ukraine caused substantial casualties.
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