New Wall Street Journal polling finds tight races in 6 swing states
A new set of state polling from the Wall Street Journal released Friday finds deadlocked presidential races among registered voters in six key states, with Donald Trump holding a slight advantage over Kamala Harris in Nevada.
With third-party candidates included, there is no clear leader among registered voters in Arizona (Harris 47%, Trump 45%), Georgia (Harris 46%, Trump 45%), Michigan (Harris 47%, Trump 45%), North Carolina (Trump 46%, Harris 45%), Pennsylvania (Trump 46%, Harris 45%) or Wisconsin (Harris 46%, Trump 45%).
Trump’s edge in the Silver State: In Nevada, Trump takes 47% to Harris’ 42% among registered voters. The margins in each state are similar when looking at a head-to-head matchup among just Harris and Trump.
Combining the data across all seven states, the Wall Street Journal poll finds that Trump holds the advantage over Harris on trust to handle the economy (50% trust him more, to 40% who say Harris is better able to do so). A 65% majority of registered voters in those states say that inflation has moved in the wrong direction over the past year (down from 74% who said the same in March), with 50% saying their own finances have moved in the wrong direction, relatively unchanged from earlier this year.
While 41% of voters in these states call the economy or inflation their top issue in the election, compared with 18% who choose abortion, abortion is the issue more widely seen as a litmus test. Across the states, 28% of registered voters choose abortion as the issue they feel so strongly about that they could not vote for a candidate who disagreed with them, while a combined 17% choose the economy or inflation. Across the seven states, Harris leads Trump, 51% to 35%, on trust to handle abortion.
About the poll: The Wall Street Journal poll was conducted September 28 through October 8 by telephone and online, and surveyed 600 voters in each of the following states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Results for the full set of registered voters in each state have a margin of sampling error of +/- 4.0 percentage points; for the combined data, it is +/- 1.5 percentage points.
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